Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Obermais		Este

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.15	2.22
	2.93	3.26	2.25	Watch
	2.89	3.25	2.23
	2.9	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.6)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obermais
31.2%

Draw
28.4%

Este
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obermais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Este has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obermais than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Este than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Obermais - Este Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Dalla Bernardina G. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 0 - 2, Caporello E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, Cogo G. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Brusco M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

Obermais has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Este is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Este	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7
16	FC Obermais	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Obermais
Italian Serie D - Group C
21.12.25	Obermais - San Luigi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Conegliano - Obermais	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Altavilla - Obermais	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Obermais - Cjarlins Muzane	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Luparense - Obermais	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWL
- Este
Italian Serie D - Group C
21.12.25	Luparense - Este	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Este - Treviso	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Union Clodiense - Este	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Este - Legnago Salus	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Calvi Noale - Este	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWL

Obermais - Este: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide