Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.4
	3.05	2.78	2.52
	3.27	2.82	2.61
	3.41	2.74	2.57	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	2.94	3.02	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.66)	2.91 ↓ (3.32)	2.51 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
30.5%

Draw
32.2%

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Obolon's form might have worsened.

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Obolon - Epitsentr Kamianets Podilskyi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 28. Polehenko P. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 50. Semenov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 21. Bychek K. 6. Chekh M. 4. Moroz T. (C) 13. Medynskyi I. 55. Sukhanov S. 40. Nesterenko I.	31. Bilyk O. (G) 28. Lipovuz A. 77. Coch N. 3. Grygorashchuk S. 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 39. Ceberio J. 8. Myronyuk M. 97. Klymets O. (C) 99. Rojas C. 9. Joaquinete 20. Sydun V.
Substitutes
17. Chernenko R. 7. Chornyi A. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 22. Feshchenko O. 12. Kozlov O. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 90. Lyakh T. 91. Lyashchuk R. 23. Stashkiv V. (G) 99. Teslyuk D. 75. Tretyakov M. 20. Volokhatyi R.	17. Demchenko Y. 71. Fedotov N. (G) 6. Kovalets K. 11. Krystin S. 7. Matkevych A. 2. Oliveira A. 21. Supryaga V. 34. Tanchyk V. 37. Vavshko A. (G) 5. Zaporozhets E.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Nagornyak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rojas C. ⚽, Joaquinete (A),
21', Coch N. 🟨,
23', Moroz T. ↓, Volokhatyi R. ↑,
31', Shevchenko Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bychek K. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Sydun V. ⚽, Rojas C. (A),
54', Sukhanov S. 🟨,
57', Rojas C. ↓, Supryaga V. ↑,
58', Volokhatyi R. 🟨,
59', Sukhanov S. ↓, Lyakh T. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Lyakh T. ⚽, Semenov D. (A),
75', Bilyk O. 🟨,
76', Lipovuz A. 🟨,
78', Nesterenko I. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
84', Myronyuk M. ↓, Zaporozhets E. ↑,
84', Joaquinete ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
90', Supryaga V. 🟨,
90+1', Sydun V. ↓, Kovalets K. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Lyakh T. ⚽, Teslyuk D. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Obolon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Epitsentr has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Epitsentr	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Obolon - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.26	Obolon - Kudrivka	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Obolon - Poltava	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Veres Rivne - Obolon	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLT
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Ukrainian Premier League
02.05.26	Veres Rivne - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:3 ✺
27.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Kudrivka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.11.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	1:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
06.05.23	Obolon - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:1
08.04.23	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	0:0

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