Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Solovyan O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Poltava

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.15	5.9
	1.54	3.99	6.14
	1.48	4.19	6.63	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.57	3.69	6.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	3.94 ↑ (3.93)	6.16 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Obolon
61.2%

Draw
23.6%

Poltava
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

19.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Obolon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poltava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Obolon - Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Poltava will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Obolon: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Obolon (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 28. Polehenko P. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 50. Semenov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 6. Chekh M. 20. Volokhatyi R. 13. Medynskyi I. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 75. Tretyakov M. 9. Ustymenko D.	1. Minchev M. (G) 24. Ukhan I. 5. Pidlepych V. 33. Veremiyenko O. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 21. Doroshenko A. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 8. Odaryuk V. 10. Sad V. 7. Galenkov D. 38. Sukhoruchko D.
Substitutes
21. Bychek K. 17. Chernenko R. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 22. Feshchenko O. 12. Kozlov O. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 90. Lyakh T. 40. Nesterenko I. 24. Prokopenko Y. 23. Stashkiv V. (G) 55. Sukhanov S.	19. Buzhyn M. 93. Kobzar B. 2. Kononov M. 14. Marusych M. 44. Plakhtyr D. 11. Pyatov O. 12. Savenkov A. 96. Yermolov D. (G)
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Matviychenko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Sad V. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Chekh M. 🟨,
66', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
68', Medynskyi I. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
70', Sad V. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
74', Odaryuk V. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
74', Danylenko V. ↓, Plakhtyr D. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Slobodyan O. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Galenkov D. ↓, Kononov M. ↑,
84', Sukhoruchko D. ↓, Marusych M. ↑,
85', Volokhatyi R. ↓, Lyakh T. ↑,
85', Tretyakov M. ↓, Prokopenko Y. ↑,
90+5', Ukhan I. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Obolon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Poltava is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Obolon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
11.04.26	Veres Rivne - Obolon	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Obolon	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLT
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
10.04.26	Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
03.04.26	Poltava - Oleksandriya	3:3 ✺
19.03.26	Kharkiv - Poltava	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Zorya Luhansk - Poltava	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.25	Poltava - Obolon	1:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.10.22	Poltava - Obolon	2:1
03.09.22	Obolon - Poltava	2:1

Upcoming Matches