Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Kalionov O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	2.82	2.98	2.58
	2.85	2.98	2.63
	2.84	2.83	2.75	Watch
	2.86	2.91	2.66	Watch
	2.8	3.19	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)	3 ↑ (2.9)	2.59 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
32.4%

Draw
31.3%

Oleksandriya
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Obolon - Oleksandriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oleksandriya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oleksandriya (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 55. Sukhanov S. 3. Pryimak V. 95. Kurko V. 37. Dubko V. 5. Shevchenko Y. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 6. Chekh M. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 9. Ustymenko D. 21. Bychek K.	30. Shevchenko M. (C) 22. Skorko D. 50. Behiratche J. 86. Bol A. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 71. Shostak D. 19. Jota 8. Buletsa S. 9. Myshnyov D. 27. Cara T. 49. Amaral M.
Substitutes
7. Bliznichenko V. 28. Chornyi A. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 22. Feshchenko O. 70. Korkh K. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 91. Lyashchuk R. 13. Medynskyi I. 40. Nesterenko I. 24. Prokopenko Y. 50. Semenov D. 23. Stashkiv V. (G)	1. Dolgyi V. (G) 5. Fernando Henrique 44. Jhonnatan 59. Kozak A. 10. Kulakov A. 23. Oharkov M. 97. Prokopenko N. 55. Smyrnyi Y. 24. Touati H. 2. Ukhan I.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Nesterenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Bol A. 🟨,
13', Shevchenko Y. 🟨,
40', Chekh M. 🟨,
41', Shostak D. 🟨,
42', Pryimak V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Sukhanov S. ⚽,
59', Amaral M. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
59', Jota ↓, Touati H. ↑,
61', Kulakovskyi A. ↓, Nesterenko I. ↑,
61', Ustymenko D. ↓, Prokopenko Y. ↑,
66', Chekh M. ↓, Semenov D. ↑,
70', Buletsa S. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
70', Shostak D. ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
81', Bychek K. ↓, Medynskyi I. ↑,
81', Slobodyan O. ↓, Feshchenko O. ↑,
85', Behiratche J. ↓, Oharkov M. ↑,
90+2', Medynskyi I. 🟨,

Preview

Obolon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oleksandriya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Obolon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Obolon has had a series of home games.

Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLW
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.25	Kudrivka - Oleksandriya	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Partizan - Oleksandriya	4:0 ✺
24.07.25	Oleksandriya - Partizan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Slaven Belupo - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Mladost Donja Gorica - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.25	Oleksandriya - Obolon	4:0
13.09.24	Obolon - Oleksandriya	0:0
25.05.24	Obolon - Oleksandriya	0:3
17.04.24	Oleksandriya - Obolon	2:2
09.03.12	Obolon - Oleksandriya	1:1

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