Match Info

ROMANIA: ROMANIAN CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday


	Ocna Mureș		Baia Mare

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	4	3.8	1.78
	3.8	3.75	1.76
	4.17	3.92	1.69
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	4.2	3.95	1.66	Watch
	4.2	3.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.55)	3.75 ↑ (3.1)	1.75 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ocna Mureș
23%

Draw
24.5%

Baia Mare
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ocna Mureș has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ocna Mureș's form might have worsened.

Baia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baia Mare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ocna Mureș than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ocna Mureș, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baia Mare than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baia Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Ocna Mureș - Baia Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ocna Mureș will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Baia Mare will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baia Mare: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ocna Mureș could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baia Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ocna Mureș
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 9
18.11.22	Avântul Reghin - Ocna Mureș	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Viitorul Cluj - Ocna Mureș	3:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
09.11.22	Ocna Mureș - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 9
05.11.22	Ocna Mureș - Universitatea Alba Iulia	2:3 ✺
29.10.22	Corvinul Hunedoara - Ocna Mureș	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLTLL
- FCM Baia Mare
Romanian Division 2
03.12.22	Unirea Dej - Baia Mare	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Baia Mare - Viitorul Târgu Jiu	1:2 ✺
15.11.22	Oţelul Galaţi - Baia Mare	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
09.11.22	Baia Mare - Hermannstadt	2:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
05.11.22	Baia Mare - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLT

Ocna Mureș - Baia Mare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide