Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 5

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)


	Odd		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.1
	3.2	4	2.1
	3.18	3.98	2.2
	3.18	3.98	2.14
	2.9	3.7	2.05
	3.15	3.83	2.14	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3.03)	3.87 ↑ (3.76)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
30.8%

Draw
24.5%

Viking Stavanger
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Odd - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Viking will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viking: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Klausen P. (G) 2. Ruud E. 14. Ivancevic M. 5. Miettinen T. 3. Baccay J. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. 6. Svendsen T. 29. Bang-Kittilsen B. 11. Tewelde F. 24. Njie B.	30. Gunnarsson P. (G) 3. Vevatne V. 5. Diop D. T. 4. Langas S. 23. Urbancic J. 14. Yazbek P. 8. Bell J. 21. Tangen H. 7. D'Agostino N. 9. Salvesen L. 10. Tripic Z. (C)
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 16. Glenna C. 12. Hansen S. (G) 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 9. Midtskogen O. 17. Owusu S. 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J. 13. Skjeldal S.	19. Auklend S. 24. Auklend V. 20. Christiansen P. 11. de Lanlay Y. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 1. Ostbo A. (G) 32. Saetherbo K. 6. Stensness G. 29. Svendsen S.
Coaches
Dokken K.	Jensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Baccay J. ↓, Skjeldal S. ↑,
16', Ruud E. ↓, Glenna C. ↑,
19', Hussain E. 🟨,
23', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Tangen H. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
28', D'Agostino N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Svendsen T. ⚽, Hussain E. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Svendsen T. ⚽, Skjeldal S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', D'Agostino N. ↓, Christiansen P. ↑,
60', Langas S. ↓, Stensness G. ↑,
61', Yazbek P. ↓, de Lanlay Y. ↑,
71', Tangen H. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
75', Salvesen L. 🟨,
84', Tewelde F. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
84', Njie B. ↓, Ingebrigtsen M. ↑,
84', Bang-Kittilsen B. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
85', Urbancic J. ↓, Svendsen S. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Christiansen P. ⚽, Bell J. (A),
89', 🟨,
90', Ivancevic M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Tripic Z. ⚽,
90+6', Ivancevic M. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 3, Ingebrigtsen M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 1.

Odd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Viking is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Odd have a series of guest games.

Viking will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Odd: Borven T. (Injury) Hagen S. (Injury) Mugeese Z. (Injury) Solholm S. (Injury)

There will not play in Viking: Bjorshol S. (Injury) Haugen H. J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Odd: Hien L. (Injury) Ruud E. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Odd won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Pors - Odd	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Brann - Odd	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Molde - Odd	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Odd - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Åskollen - Odd	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTW
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Brann	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Varhaug - Viking Stavanger	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.24	Bodø Glimt - Viking Stavanger	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
07.10.23	Odd - Viking Stavanger	1:1
16.05.23	Viking Stavanger - Odd	3:2
13.11.22	Viking Stavanger - Odd	1:1
18.04.22	Odd - Viking Stavanger	2:1
05.12.21	Viking Stavanger - Odd	3:1
17.07.21	Odd - Viking Stavanger	3:2
04.11.20	Odd - Viking Stavanger	3:0

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