Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 29

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Odder		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3.35	1.91
	3.8	3.5	1.78
				Watch
	3.72	3.58	1.87	Watch
	3.45	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odder
25.6%

Draw
26.5%

VSK Aarhus
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.1%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.4%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Odder's form might have worsened.

VSK Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VSK Aarhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odder than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Odder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VSK Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Odder - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odder won 0.

Recent form of Odder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

VSK Aarhus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Odder won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Odder won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odder IGF
Danish 3 Division
17.05.25	Holbæk - Odder	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Brabrand - Odder	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Odder - Næsby	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Odder - Holbæk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
17.05.25	Brabrand - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	4:0 ✺
10.05.25	Brønshøj BK - VSK Aarhus	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Brabrand	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
03.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	1:1
22.03.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	2:2
28.09.24	Odder - VSK Aarhus	1:4
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.24	Odder - VSK Aarhus	0:2
Club Friendly
28.01.23	VSK Aarhus - Odder	2:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 3
07.10.17	Odder - VSK Aarhus	4:2
26.08.17	VSK Aarhus - Odder	4:1

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