Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 27

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)


	VSK Aarhus		Næsby

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	2.14	3.35	2.85
	2.17	3.4	3.01
				Watch
	2.21	3.47	3.05	Watch
	2.14	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.05 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VSK Aarhus
43.3%

Draw
26.8%

Næsby
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VSK Aarhus's form might have worsened.

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VSK Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

VSK Aarhus - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VSK Aarhus won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

VSK Aarhus might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VSK Aarhus won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, VSK Aarhus won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
10.05.25	Brønshøj BK - VSK Aarhus	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Brabrand	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Young Boys FD - VSK Aarhus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLTW
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
10.05.25	Odder - Næsby	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Næsby - Holbæk	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	2:4 ✺
21.04.25	Næsby - Brabrand	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Næsby - Avarta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
19.10.24	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	1:2
07.09.24	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	4:1
09.06.24	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	3:1
20.04.24	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	0:3
21.10.23	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	2:4
23.09.23	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	2:0
03.06.23	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	1:2

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