Match Info

Superettan - Round 3

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Rimnersvallen (Uddevalla)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Oddevold		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.75	3.2	1.95
	3.47	3.37	2.09	Watch
	3.47	3.36	2.09
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	3.49	3.38	2.09	Watch
	3.47	3.37	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	2.04 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oddevold
26.2%

Draw
28.3%

Kalmar
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oddevold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oddevold's form might have worsened.

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kalmar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oddevold than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oddevold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalmar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Oddevold - Kalmar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oddevold will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kalmar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saetra M. (G) 6. Merbom J. 21. Almqvist A. (C) 3. Hedenquist E. 11. Krezic D. 20. Engelbrektsson A. 16. Derviskadic E. 17. Kjellman Olblad O. 10. Kalludra L. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 9. Tornblad L.	1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 3. Overby S. 23. R. Gojani 5. Hallberg M. (C) 28. Sabriye A. 19. Ylatupa S. 10. Jebara C. 11. Olusanya A.
Substitutes
4. Engelbrektsson P. 1. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 8. Iglicar O. 7. Karlin F. 23. Kruger V. 5. Snibb A. 13. Stroud A.	14. Djoro A. 4. Jansson R. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A. 33. Rosenqvist C. 6. Sjostedt R. 20. Sosseh G.
Coaches
Nilsson R.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Saetra L. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jebara C. ↓, Sosseh G. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Wiedesheim-Paul R. (Pen),
61', Saetra L. 🟨,
62', R. Gojani ↓, Djoro A. ↑,
68', Hallberg M. 🟨,
69', Tornblad L. ↓, Stroud A. ↑,
69', Sabriye A. ↓, Jansson R. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Saetra L. ⚽, Ylatupa S. (A),
77', Kalludra L. ↓, Iglicar O. ↑,
86', Ylatupa S. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Djoro A. ⚽, Olusanya A. (A),
90+2', Djoro A. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kalmar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oddevold won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Including matches at home between the teams Oddevold won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Oddevold
Swedish Superettan
05.04.25	Utsikten - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Oddevold - Umeå	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
02.03.25	Sandviken - Oddevold	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Oddevold - Djurgården	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	IFK Göteborg - Oddevold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLTL
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
05.04.25	Kalmar - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Sandviken - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kalmar - Öster	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Kalmar - Halmstad	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
03.03.25	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLL

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