Match Info

Superettan - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Rimnersvallen (Uddevalla)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Oddevold		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.37
	2.88	3.18	2.49	Watch
	2.95	3.19	2.54
	2.88	3.16	2.49	Watch
	2.9	3	2.38
	2.89	3.18	2.5	Watch
	2.68	3.15	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.42)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oddevold
32.6%

Draw
29.6%

Västerås SK
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oddevold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oddevold than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Västerås SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Oddevold - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Oddevold will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oddevold: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oddevold (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Oddevold (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oddevold (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saetra M. (G) 6. Merbom J. 21. Almqvist A. (C) 3. Hedenquist E. 20. Engelbrektsson A. 18. Forssell G. 16. Derviskadic E. 10. Kalludra L. 11. Krezic D. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 9. Tornblad L.	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 42. Hartzell T. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Gunnarsson K. 8. Diagne M. 44. Larsson M. 10. Ring J. 27. Bibout A. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
4. Engelbrektsson P. 1. Hermansson N. (G) 8. Iglicar O. 17. Kjellman Olblad O. 23. Kruger V. 15. Rogulj A. 13. Stroud A.	25. Bernardini A. (G) 13. Engstrom H. 24. Johansson J. 6. Johansson S. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Ribeiro P. 33. Vilar B.
Coaches
Nilsson R.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 1 - 0, Krezic D. ⚽, Wiedesheim-Paul R. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ⚽, Axel T. (A),
32', Tornblad L. ↓, Stroud A. ↑,
34', Diagne M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Bibout A. ⚽, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 3, Bibout A. ⚽, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Engelbrektsson A. ↓, Kjellman Olblad O. ↑,
58', 1 - 4, Ring J. ⚽, Axel T. (A),
61', Forssell G. ↓, Rogulj A. ↑,
61', Kalludra L. ↓, Iglicar O. ↑,
62', 1 - 5, Nsabiyumva F. ⚽, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (A),
71', Wernersson V. ↓, Vilar B. ↑,
71', Diagne M. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
77', Derviskadic E. ↓, Kruger V. ↑,
80', 🟥,
80', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Engstrom H. ↑,
80', Bibout A. ↓, Johansson S. ↑,
82', Ring J. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 7).

Oddevold is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Västerås SK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Oddevold
Swedish Superettan
22.05.25	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Brage - Oddevold	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Oddevold - Örebro	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sandviken - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Oddevold - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWWWL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
21.05.25	Västerås SK - Östersund	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Utsikten - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTT

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