Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Odra Bytom Odrzański		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	1.69	4.8	3.35
	2.25	3.34	2.66
	2.28	3.56	2.72	Watch
	2.23	3.5	2.74	Watch
	1.69	4.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.66)	3.92 ↑ (3.7)	2.92 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Bytom Odrzański
45%

Draw
23.5%

Lechia Zielona Góra
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

24.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Bytom Odrzański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Odra Bytom Odrzański's performance.

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Zielona Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Bytom Odrzański than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Odra Bytom Odrzański that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Odra Bytom Odrzański - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Kolodenny J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Bytom Odrzański
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.09.24	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Miedź Legnica 2	6:1 ✺
31.08.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Odra Bytom Odrzański	4:0 ✺
10.08.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Odra Bytom Odrzański	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTLL
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.09.24	Miedź Legnica 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Ślęza Wrocław - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.04.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:2
30.09.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Odra Bytom Odrzański	2:2

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