Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)


	Ohud Medina		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.4	1.65
	4.5	3.2	1.7
	5.5	3.31	1.66
	5.5	3	1.62
	5.85	3.45	1.6	Watch
	4.7	3.45	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.06)	3.3 ↑ (2.94)	1.65 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ohud Medina
17.7%

Draw
27.4%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

30.8%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

30.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ohud Medina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohud Medina than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Ohud Medina - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ohud will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Al-Ahli is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ohud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ohud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ohud Medina
Saudi Division 1
13.02.23	Al-Ain - Ohud Medina	4:1 ✺
08.02.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Jabalain	2:2 ✺
31.01.23	Ohud Medina - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
27.01.23	Najran - Ohud Medina	0:2 ✺
23.01.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Qadisiya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Division 1
13.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Orobah	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:4 ✺
28.01.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
24.01.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Jabalain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
16.09.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Ohud Medina	3:0
Saudi Professional League
11.01.19	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Ohud Medina	5:1
14.09.18	Ohud Medina - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2
12.04.18	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Ohud Medina	1:0
10.12.17	Ohud Medina - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2

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