Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)


	Ohud Medina		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.22	3.44	1.84
	4	3.3	1.73
	4.21	3.46	1.8	Watch
	3.95	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.92)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ohud Medina
22.6%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Qadisiya
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ohud Medina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohud Medina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Al-Qadisiya aligns with the current prediction.

Ohud Medina - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Al Yami A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 2 - 0, Michalak K. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Diagne M. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Diagne M. ⚽,

Preview

Ohud is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Qadisiya is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ohud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ohud have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Qadisiya is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ohud won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ohud won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ohud Medina
Saudi Division 1
29.04.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Ohud Medina	3:2 ✺
16.04.24	Al-Kholood - Ohud Medina	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Al-Jabalain - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Ain	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	Jeddah - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTT
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
30.04.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Qaisumah	3:1 ✺
24.04.24	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
16.04.24	Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Qadisiya	3:1 ✺
15.03.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Orobah	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
18.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	1:1
16.05.23	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	3:0
23.01.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Qadisiya	1:0
07.03.22	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	3:0
12.11.21	Ohud Medina - Al-Qadisiya	1:1

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