Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al-Riyadh		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	5.5	4.6	1.49
	6.3	4.85	1.39
	6.53	5.16	1.43
	6.4	5.02	1.41	Watch
	5.75	4.5	1.36
	6.99	5.18	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↑ (5.67)	4.77 ↓ (4.91)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
14.9%

Draw
19.4%

Al-Qadisiya
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

19%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

18.4%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Riyadh - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (G) 7. Al Boardi O. 5. Barbet Y. 23. Al Khaibari M. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. (C) 27. Lekhal V. 35. Al Siyahi A. 10. Okou T. 20. Toze 12. Hazazi S. 77. Antunes L.	1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 8. Nandez N. 25. Otavio 10. Al Juwayr M. 33. Quinones J. 9. Al Salem A.
Substitutes
11. Al Absi K. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 94. Al Sobhi F. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 99. Haroun S. 98. Sali E. 9. Sylla M. 87. Tambakti M. H.	28. Al Kassar A. (G) 12. Al Shahrani Y. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 19. Asiri H. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 24. Qasem M.
Coaches
Dulac M.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Al Salem A. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hazazi S. ↓, Tambakti M. H. ↑,
46', Al Boardi O. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
56', Tambakti M. H. 🟨,
66', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
69', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
76', Otavio ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Al Salem A. ⚽, Gabriel Carvalho (A),
83', Al Salem A. ↓, Asiri H. ↑,
83', Okou T. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
89', Al Khaibari A. I. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 4, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Al-Riyadh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
24.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:1 ✺
05.03.26	Damac - Al-Riyadh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWTWL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
14.04.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0
02.03.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	1:0
04.10.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:1
Saudi Division 1
28.02.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2
04.10.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	1:1

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