Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Olaria		Campos

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.14	3.05	3
	1.7	3.45	3.9
	2.05	3.49	3.45
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.02	3.54	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.66)	3.36 ↓ (3.7)	3.37 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaria
45.8%

Draw
27.1%

Campos
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

16.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olaria's form might have worsened.

Campos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Campos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaria than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olaria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Olaria - Campos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 4).

Olaria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Campos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olaria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaria AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.11.20	Bonsucesso - Olaria	1:4 ✺
04.11.20	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
31.10.20	Angra dos Reis - Olaria	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Olaria - Artsul	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Rio São Paulo - Olaria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL
- Campos AA
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.11.20	Campos - Audax Rio	2:2 ✺
04.11.20	Serra Macaense - Campos	3:1 ✺
01.11.20	Campos - Nova Cidade	0:1 ✺
28.10.20	Serrano FC - Campos	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Artsul - Campos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 TLLWT

Olaria - Campos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide