Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Olaria		São Gonçalo

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	1.95	3	4.1
	1.95	3	4.2
	2.25	2.53	4.03	Watch
	1.92	3	4.09
	2.22	3.1	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	3.85 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaria
44.6%

Draw
31.6%

São Gonçalo
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Gonçalo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Olaria - São Gonçalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Marcelinho 🟥,
90+3', Marcao 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Olaria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Olaria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olaria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Olaria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaria AC
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.07.25	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Olaria - Resende	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Cabofriense - Olaria	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Olaria - Pérolas Negras	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Olaria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTT
- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
05.07.25	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	America RJ - São Gonçalo	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	São Gonçalo - Resende	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Audax Rio - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?TTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.05.25	Olaria - São Gonçalo	2:1
25.11.20	Olaria - São Gonçalo	2:0

Olaria - São Gonçalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide