Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Bruno Nespoli (Olbia)


	Olbia		Albalonga

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.62
	2.39	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.36	3.32	2.58
	2.28	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
38.6%

Draw
27%

Albalonga
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Albalonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albalonga than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Olbia - Albalonga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Albalonga (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Albalonga (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albalonga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Ingretolli C. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Bensaja N. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Angeletti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Biancu R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Meledandri L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 9).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Albalonga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Albalonga	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Olbia - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.12.25	Olbia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Anzio - Olbia	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Trastevere - Olbia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Olbia - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Olbia - Monastir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTTL
- ASD Albalonga
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.12.25	Scafatese - Albalonga	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Albalonga - Trastevere	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Monastir - Albalonga	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Ischia Isolaverde - Albalonga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL

Olbia - Albalonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide