Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Bruno Nespoli (Olbia)


	Olbia		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.34	3.27	2.67
	2.36	3.35	2.74
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.45	3.22	2.86
	2.38	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.96)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.62 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olbia
36.9%

Draw
28.4%

Sarnese
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olbia's performance.

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarnese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olbia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olbia - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Yanovskyy R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Matese M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Ragatzu D. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Lagzir S. ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, Lagzir S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Olbia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarnese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Sarnese have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie D - Group G
13.04.25	Terracina - Olbia	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Olbia	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Olbia - Savoia	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Puteolana - Olbia	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Olbia - Trastevere	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTLWW
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group G
13.04.25	Sarnese - Paganese	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sarnese - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Trastevere - Sarnese	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sarnese - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sarnese - Ilvamaddalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
07.12.24	Sarnese - Olbia	4:1

Olbia - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide