Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group G - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Sarnese		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.6	3.15	2.55
	2.93	3.34	2.23
	2.97	3.22	2.22
	2.5	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.32)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.47 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnese
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Guidonia Montecelio
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guidonia Montecelio's recent form is better than expected.

Sarnese - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Errico A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Guidonia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guidonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.02.25	Sarnese - Ilvamaddalena	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Latte Dolce - Sarnese	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sarnese	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Terracina - Sarnese	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Sarnese - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
26.02.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Martina Calcio	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.02.25	Terracina - Guidonia Montecelio	1:5 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
12.02.25	Martina Calcio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.02.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Savoia	6:1 ✺
19.01.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW

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