Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Oldenburg		Hallescher

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.87	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.35	2.28
	3.05	3.54	2.37
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.52	2.27	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.37)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	2.27 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
32.1%

Draw
27.2%

Hallescher
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldenburg's form might have worsened.

Hallescher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hallescher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hallescher, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	15%	30%

Oldenburg - Hallescher Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Hallescher will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldenburg: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hallescher has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Elversberg - Oldenburg	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oldenburg - 1860 München	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Meppen - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Oldenburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
13.01.23	Zwickau - Oldenburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLW
- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Hallescher - Freiburg II	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Dynamo Dresden - Hallescher	7:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hallescher - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
14.01.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hallescher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
12.08.22	Hallescher - Oldenburg	2:0

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