Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Oldenburg		1860 München

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.91
	3.5	3.6	1.98
	3.7	3.6	1.85
	3.6	3.45	1.85
	3.89	3.67	1.98
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.55	3.64	1.93	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.98)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
25.6%

Draw
26.2%

1860 München
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldenburg's form might have worsened.

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 1860 München's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Oldenburg - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 1860 München will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

1860 München could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oldenburg have a series of guest games.

In this match 1860 München is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
28.01.23	Meppen - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Oldenburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
13.01.23	Zwickau - Oldenburg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
05.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLL
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
30.01.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	1860 München - Zwickau	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.23	1860 München - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
20.12.22	Bayreuth - 1860 München	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.08.22	1860 München - Oldenburg	1:0

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