Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)


	Oldenburg		Holstein Kiel II

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4
	1.72	3.75	4.2
	1.72	3.95	4.22
	1.65	3.96	4.16
	1.72	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.21)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	4.16 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
54.1%

Draw
23.9%

Holstein Kiel II
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Holstein Kiel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Meier M. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Breitenbucher N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 3, Sohn E. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Oldenburg is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oldenburg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	5:0 ✺
14.09.24	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Todesfelde - Oldenburg	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Oldenburg - Werder Bremen II	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Oldenburg - Meppen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLT
- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	Holstein Kiel II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Kickers Emden - Holstein Kiel II	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Holstein Kiel II - Eintracht Norderstedt	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
24.03.24	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:3
01.10.23	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:2
21.05.22	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	1:1
09.04.22	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:2
17.11.19	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	2:1
07.08.19	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:1
24.03.19	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:2

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