Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Hamburger II		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	4.90	4.50	1.48
	4.77	4.80	1.52
	5.2	4.99	1.44
	4.70	4.65	1.50
	5.16	4.55	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (3.52)	4.7 ↑ (4.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
18.5%

Draw
19.5%

Oldenburg
62%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

21.2%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

20.8%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamburger II's form might have worsened.

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hamburger II - Oldenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
77', 0 - 1, Schroder M. ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, Facklam M. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Brocker M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Hamburg II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Oldenburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hamburg II has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hamburg II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	10	1	3	41:19	22	31
16	Hamburger SV II	14	4	1	9	20:32	-12	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
10.10.26	Schöningen - Hamburger II	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Hamburger II - Atlas Delmenhorst	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Hannoverscher SC - Hamburger II	0:4 ✺
16.09.26	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWLL
- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
11.10.26	Oldenburg - Kickers Emden	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Oldenburg - Jeddeloh	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Bremer SV - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Oldenburg - Hannover II	4:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
06.12.25	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	0:0
24.08.25	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	0:4
22.03.25	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	0:0
22.09.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	5:0
24.04.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	0:2
01.09.23	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	0:0
08.05.22	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	3:2

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