Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg) 🌤️ ...


	Oldenburg		Kickers Emden

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.5	4.4
	1.51	4.82	4.97
	1.59	4.49	4.26
	1.47	4.75	4.9
	1.56	4.25	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.78)	4.56 ↓ (4.7)	4.57 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
59.9%

Draw
20.1%

Kickers Emden
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

19.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

20.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Kickers Emden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kickers Emden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Emden than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kickers Emden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oldenburg - Kickers Emden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Kasper D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Mahncke P. J. 🟨,
58', Herbst F. 🟥,
60', 2 - 0, Facklam M. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Demaj L. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Brand R. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 7th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Oldenburg for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Oldenburg has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oldenburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	10	1	3	41:19	22	31
8	Emden	15	5	4	6	36:41	-5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Kickers Emden - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
03.10.26	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Oldenburg - Jeddeloh	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Bremer SV - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Oldenburg - Hannover II	4:3
06.09.26	Schöningen - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Kickers Emden
German Regionalliga North
03.10.26	Kickers Emden - Todesfelde	1:2
26.09.26	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Kickers Emden - Schöningen	5:0 ✺
15.09.26	Drochtersen Assel - Kickers Emden	8:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kickers Emden - Jeddeloh	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
26.04.26	Kickers Emden - Oldenburg	4:2
11.10.25	Oldenburg - Kickers Emden	2:1
29.11.24	Kickers Emden - Oldenburg	1:1
16.08.24	Oldenburg - Kickers Emden	0:3

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