Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	St. Pauli II		Kickers Emden

	1	X	2
	2.95	4.05	1.92
	3.16	4.23	1.90
	2.74	4.1	2.09
	3.10	4.15	1.88
	3.04	4.20	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 (3)	4.15 ↑ (3.79)	1.93 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
30.5%

Draw
22.1%

Kickers Emden
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.2%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kickers Emden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kickers Emden than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Schroder T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, Warnken J. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 4.

St. Pauli II has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Emden is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Emden holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, St. Pauli II has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pauli II against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Emden	12	5	3	4	32:32	0	18
15	St. Pauli II	11	3	1	7	20:21	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli II - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Kickers Emden - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
19.09.26	Drochtersen Assel - St. Pauli II	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	St. Pauli II - Eintracht Norderstedt	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Schöningen - St. Pauli II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL
- Kickers Emden
German Regionalliga North
19.09.26	Kickers Emden - Schöningen	5:0 ✺
15.09.26	Drochtersen Assel - Kickers Emden	8:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kickers Emden - Jeddeloh	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Bremer SV - Kickers Emden	2:3 ✺
26.08.26	Atlas Delmenhorst - Kickers Emden	3:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
11.04.26	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:1
01.10.25	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	1:1
02.03.25	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	1:0
30.08.24	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:1
29.04.23	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:3
23.10.22	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	2:3

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