Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Oldenburg		SC Weiche-08

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.55	4.55
	1.58	4.97	3.89
	1.55	5.17	4.01
	1.44	4.8	4.6
	1.47	4.65	4.85
	1.4	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	4.82 ↓ (4.83)	4.65 ↓ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
61.3%

Draw
19%

SC Weiche-08
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

18.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

SC Weiche-08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Weiche-08 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Oldenburg - SC Weiche 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Facklam M. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 1 - 1, Ali I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, Faleu M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldenburg won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Oldenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Oldenburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Oldenburg is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Oldenburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oldenburg won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oldenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SC Weiche-08	12	9	1	2	36:14	22	28
6	VfB Oldenburg	11	7	1	3	33:17	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
26.04.26	Kickers Emden - Oldenburg	4:2 ✺
22.04.26	Schöningen - Oldenburg	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Altona - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
10.04.26	Drochtersen Assel - Oldenburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- SC Weiche-08
German Regionalliga North
29.04.26	SC Weiche-08 - Altona	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	SC Weiche-08 - Schöningen	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Meppen - SC Weiche-08	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	SC Weiche-08 - Bremer SV	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Hannoverscher SC - SC Weiche-08	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
18.10.25	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	2:3
04.04.25	Oldenburg - SC Weiche-08	5:1
03.10.24	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	2:0
18.02.24	Oldenburg - SC Weiche-08	2:0
25.08.23	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	2:2
24.04.22	Oldenburg - SC Weiche-08	4:0
12.03.22	SC Weiche-08 - Oldenburg	0:0

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