Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Oleiros		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.13	3.05	3.2
	2.28	3.29	3.11
	2.11	3.19	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	3.21 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleiros
42.4%

Draw
29.3%

Vitória de Sernache
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

20.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleiros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleiros than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleiros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória de Sernache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Oleiros is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sernache is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oleiros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oleiros won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Oleiros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ARC Oleiros
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.12.21	Oleiros - Idanhense	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Sertanense - Oleiros	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Oleiros - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Fontinhas - Oleiros	2:0 ✺
01.11.21	Oleiros - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.12.21	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
05.12.21	Vitória de Sernache - Praiense	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Condeixa - Vitória de Sernache	2:3 ✺
07.11.21	Idanhense - Vitória de Sernache	0:4 ✺
31.10.21	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.09.21	Vitória de Sernache - Oleiros	1:2
04.11.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oleiros	4:4
25.01.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oleiros	1:1
29.01.17	Oleiros - Vitória de Sernache	2:1

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