Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vitória de Sernache		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.35	2.96	3.24
	2.35	2.97	3.24
	2.25	3.04	3.04
	2.38	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.81)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)	3.06 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
39.1%

Draw
31%

Sertanense
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

31.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

30.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Sernache's performance.

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1.

Recent matches Sernache is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.10.23	Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Rabo de Peixe - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Vitória de Sernache - Vianense	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	Vitória de Sernache - Fontinhas	4:1 ✺
03.09.23	União de Tomar - Vitória de Sernache	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.10.23	União de Coimbra - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Sertanense - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Sertanense - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	SC Lusitânia - Sertanense	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	Sertanense - Rabo de Peixe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:0
31.10.21	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	2:3
03.04.21	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:1
06.01.21	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	2:1
08.12.19	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	1:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	0:1 penalties
30.09.18	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	1:3

Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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