Match Info
PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 8Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Vitória de Sernache |
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Sertanense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.87 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.96 |
3.24 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.97 |
3.24 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.04 |
3.04 |
|
 |
2.38 |
2.9 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.81) |
2.95 ↑
(2.86) |
3.06 ↑
(2.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Vitória de Sernache
39.1% | Draw
31% | Sertanense
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Sernache's performance.Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 8).Last 5 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1. Recent matches Sernache is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-18. Including matches at home between the teams Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Campeonato de Portugal - Group B | | | 29.01.22 | Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache | 3:0 | | 31.10.21 | Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense | 2:3 | | 03.04.21 | Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache | 3:1 | | 06.01.21 | Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense | 2:1 | | 08.12.19 | Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense | 1:2 | | Taça de Portugal | | | 20.10.19 | Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense | 0:1 penalties | | 30.09.18 | Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense | 1:3 |
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