Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.45
	2.1	3.6	2.78
	3.95	3.60	1.80	Watch
	2.16	3.7	2.88	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	2.51 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
37.1%

Draw
25.7%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

23.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Kucharczyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wasilków	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wikielec - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2 - East
11.05.14	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2

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