Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.50	2.20
	2.55	3.35	2.28
	2.67	3.46	2.17
	2.68	3.62	2.25	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.12
	2.72	3.96	2.32	Watch
	2.68	3.38	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	2.22 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
34%

Draw
25.5%

Olimpia Elbląg
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Wierzba D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Swiety L. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 14th).

Łomża has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Elbląg is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Łomża could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Łomża has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 2.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Łomża against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	4:0 ✺
18.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - ŁKS Łomża	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Weszło - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3
06.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	1:1

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