Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - ROUND 6

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Olimpico EC		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.32	3.12	1.8
	4.32	3.24	1.8
	4.2	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.3)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)	1.8 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpico EC
21.4%

Draw
28.1%

Lagarto
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

28.5%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

28%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpico EC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpico EC than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Olimpico EC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lagarto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimpico EC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lagarto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olimpico EC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpico EC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Olimpico EC - Dorense	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Falcon - Olimpico EC	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Olimpico EC - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Confiança - Olimpico EC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLWL
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1 ✺
31.01.24	Sergipe - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Lagarto - Falcon	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	América de Propriá - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
24.03.18	Lagarto - Olimpico EC	2:1

Olimpico EC - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide