Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Carmópolis		Olimpico EC

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.33
	1.78	3.06	4.55
	1.79	3.06	4.56
	1.74	3.44	4.32
	1.72	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	4.42 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmópolis
52%

Draw
27.5%

Olimpico EC
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

21.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Olimpico EC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpico EC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpico EC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Pingo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟥,
77', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Carmópolis is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )

Olimpico EC is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Olimpico EC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carmópolis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carmópolis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Carmópolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.03.24	Olimpico EC - Carmópolis	1:4 ✺
02.03.24	Falcon - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Carmópolis - Dorense	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Carmópolis - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL
- Olimpico EC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.03.24	Olimpico EC - Carmópolis	1:4 ✺
13.03.24	Olimpico EC - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	América de Propriá - Olimpico EC	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Gloriense - Olimpico EC	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.03.24	Olimpico EC - Carmópolis	1:4
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0

Carmópolis - Olimpico EC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide