Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Oliveirense		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.4	3.25	2.08
	3.33	3.33	2.2
	1.61	3.40	6.50	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.86 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
33.8%

Draw
30.9%

Académico de Viseu
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Académico de Viseu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académico de Viseu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Viseu will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliveirense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Viseu (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (G) 54. Martins S. 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 2. Douglas Borel 14. Pereira D. 99. Sabino 19. Lopes A. 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva	1. Bruno Brigido (G) 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 21. Domingos T. 31. Joao Guilherme 14. Messeguem S. (C) 57. Costa G. 22. Mortimer N. 33. Andre Clovis 32. Zamora A.
Substitutes
40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 18. Jesus P. 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 17. Lucas Henrique 8. Ondoa F. 13. Santos V. 25. Takahashi T.	47. Gohi L. 16. Guedes R. 98. Kaique 8. Kone S. 58. Matheus Sampaio (G) 66. Milioransa I. 9. Robinho 78. Silva B. 7. Silva L.
Coaches
Pinto J.	Vieira S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Namora N. 🟨,
19', Bruno Silva 🟨,
23', Joao Guilherme 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Bruno Silva ⚽, Martelo P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Zamora A. ⚽, Costa G. (A),
66', Domingos T. ↓, Robinho ↑,
66', Joao Guilherme ↓, Silva B. ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
67', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Zamora A. ⚽, Costa G. (A),
74', Pereira D. 🟨,
75', Costa G. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
77', Lopes A. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Ondoa F. ⚽, Namora N. (A),
83', Bura 🟨,
89', Mortimer N. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
89', Silva L. 🟨,
89', Ondoa F. 🟨,
90', Douglas Borel ↓, Santos V. ↑,
90', Bruno Silva ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Viseu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Vizela - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Penafiel - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Oliveirense - Farense	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	São João de Ver - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTTW
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.04.25	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:0
16.12.24	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	2:1
18.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	2:2
17.09.23	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:2
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.23	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	1:4
05.11.22	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	1:1

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