Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Lopes V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Penafiel		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.1	3.35	3.2
	2.19	3.49	3.49
	2.42	3.22	2.89	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.03	3.35	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Penafiel
43.1%

Draw
27.9%

Oliveirense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Penafiel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Penafiel - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Oliveirense (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Penafiel (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Penafiel (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 3 - 75%). Oliveirense (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 27. Negrao G. 4. Miguel J. (C) 5. Sanchez J. 14. Pereira B. 8. Reko 21. Pedro Sa 37. Davo 88. Alves R. 10. Silva J. 19. Alcaina R.	31. Ribeiro R. (G) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 2. Douglas Borel 14. Pereira D. 99. Sabino 19. Lopes A. 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
31. Balde M. (G) 3. Gustavo Fernandes 2. lano Imbene 23. Maddi 33. Moreira C. 95. Sery J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P. 22. Xico	40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 7. Joao Adriano 22. Keating T. 17. Lucas Henrique 54. Martins S. 27. Monteiro M. 8. Ondoa F. 25. Takahashi T.
Coaches
Russiano P.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Silva J. ↓, Maddi ↑,
61', Negrao G. ↓, Xico ↑,
62', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
74', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
76', Pereira D. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
84', Alves R. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
85', Sanchez J. ↓, Moreira C. ↑,
90+2', Silva J. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
90+2', Bruno Silva ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.

Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Penafiel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
09.08.25	Portimonense - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Benfica B - Penafiel	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Penafiel - Torreense	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Leixões - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLL
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.08.25	Oliveirense - Farense	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	São João de Ver - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.25	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Leiria - Oliveirense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.01.25	Oliveirense - Penafiel	2:2
11.08.24	Penafiel - Oliveirense	4:3
03.02.24	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:1
27.08.23	Oliveirense - Penafiel	3:1
04.03.23	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:1
09.09.22	Oliveirense - Penafiel	1:1
03.03.21	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:0

Upcoming Matches