Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Oltrepo		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.50	1.63
	4.8	3.35	1.62
	4.84	3.59	1.65	Watch
	4.7	3.35	1.64
	4.82	4.07	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.7)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oltrepo
19.3%

Draw
25.4%

Lentigione
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oltrepo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lentigione's recent form is better than expected.

Oltrepo - Lentigione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Mascanzoni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, de Respinis A. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Addiego Mobilio A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group D (Play Out: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs).

Lentigione shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Lentigione is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lentigione	6	4	1	1	9:6	3	13
17	Oltrepo	6	1	0	5	4:14	-10	3

Last Results with these Odds

Lentigione - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 48.74%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.09.26	Pro Sesto - Oltrepo	6:1 ✺
20.09.26	Oltrepo - Tropical Coriano	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Castellanzese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Pro Patria - Oltrepo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.04.26	Villa Valle - Oltrepo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.09.26	Varese - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Lentigione - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Tropical Coriano - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lentigione - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Pro Sesto - Lentigione	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWW

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