Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 3

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Castellanzese		Oltrepo

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.75
	2.28	3.05	2.75
	2.30	3.10	2.98
	2.34	3.04	2.96	Watch
	2.25	2.90	2.95
	2.28	2.95	3.01
	2.20	3.15	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
39.3%

Draw
29.6%

Oltrepo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Oltrepo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Castellanzese - Oltrepo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Randisi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Oltrepo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Castellanzese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Castellanzese	6	4	0	2	13:5	8	12
17	Oltrepo	6	1	0	5	4:14	-10	3

Last Results with these Odds

Castellanzese - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.09.26	Lentigione - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Castellanzese - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.05.26	Castellanzese - Varesina	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Castellanzese - Milan Futuro	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Chievo - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLT
- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.09.26	Pro Patria - Oltrepo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.04.26	Villa Valle - Oltrepo	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Folgore Caratese - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Oltrepo - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Oltrepo - Breno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
25.01.26	Oltrepo - Castellanzese	2:0
24.09.25	Castellanzese - Oltrepo	2:2

Castellanzese - Oltrepo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide