Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kyriakos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Olympiacos Nicosia		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.00
	3.60	3.25	1.77
	3.45	3.55	2.09
	4.08	3.56	1.86	Watch
	3.25	3.50	2.05
	3.64	3.34	2.02	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Nicosia
26.3%

Draw
27.2%

Aris Limassol
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

26.3%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Nicosia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aris Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Nicosia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talichmanidis C. (G) 2. Frantzis C. 55. Gomes H. (C) 12. Jean Felipe 5. Kunde E. 26. Kynigopoulos P. 8. Paz B. 23. Pechlivanis M. 80. Sancho P. 24. Tamas M. 77. Vrikkis A.	91. Zadro M. (G) 7. Anderson Correia 27. Badelj J. 8. Charalampous C. (C) 11. Effaghe R. 70. El Allachi C. 29. Gaustad D. 30. Gustavo Paje 17. Matysik M. 22. Nikolic V. 19. Sane M.
Substitutes
21. Christou C. 4. Doumas A. 14. Elia K. 29. Irakleous K. 31. Kitsios G. 32. Kyriakou M. (G) 11. Lolis A. 13. Nhayson 6. Okkas G. 10. Prokop D. 9. Savva Z. 20. Tziortzis G.	46. Dimitriou G. (G) 88. Fi Akamba C. 23. Folha B. 21. Galyata D. 24. Kalulu G. 16. Lebi O. 5. Lelle D. 78. Ovsyannikov D. 40. Panagiotou A. 18. Szakos B. 1. Vana Alves (G) 99. Werton
Coaches
Kostis G.	Radkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Effaghe R. ⚽,
45', Nikolic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gustavo Paje ↓, Kalulu G. ↑,
46', Nikolic V. ↓, Folha B. ↑,
55', Vrikkis A. ↓, Lolis A. ↑,
55', Sancho P. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
57', Gomes H. 🟨,
62', Paz B. ↓, Christou C. ↑,
62', Gaustad D. ↓, Werton ↑,
68', Werton 🟨,
72', Jean Felipe ↓, Nhayson ↑,
72', Kunde E. ↓, Savva Z. ↑,
74', Charalampous C. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Savva Z. ⚽,
80', Werton 🟥,
84', Anderson Correia 🟨,
85', Kalulu G. 🟨,
86', Kynigopoulos P. 🟨,
86', Sane M. ↓, Szakos B. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', Nhayson 🟨,
90+6', Savva Z. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th in the Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos Nicosia won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aris Limassol holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Olympiacos Nicosia: Prokop D. (Injury) Sappinen R. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Olympiacos Nicosia has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:10 (averaging 0.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olympiacos Nicosia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aris	7	3	3	1	10:9	1	12
10	Ol. Nicosia	7	0	6	1	11:12	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympiacos Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
20.09.26	Omonia Aradippou - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Omonia 29is Maiou	3:3 ✺
07.09.26	Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Nea Salamis	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - APOEL	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTTTT
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
20.09.26	Aris Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Krasava Ypsonas - Aris Limassol	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
04.01.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol	0:0
15.09.25	Aris Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:0
16.12.22	Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol	0:0
02.09.22	Aris Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	5:0
03.12.21	Aris Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:0
22.08.21	Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol	1:2

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