Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go


	AEL Limassol		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.40	1.85
	3.6	3.35	1.92
	3.91	3.6	1.92
	3.84	3.56	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.35	1.84
	3.82	3.46	1.89	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.59)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	1.89 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
24.7%

Draw
26.7%

Aris Limassol
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.

Aris Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris Limassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris Limassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Aris Limassol will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEL: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEL (votes: 1 - 50%). Aris Limassol (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kapino S. (G) 33. Antoniou E. 9. Jovetic S. 22. Neofytou K. 10. Oudin R. 30. Papageorgiou G. 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 11. Singh L. 20. Tavares J. 80. Tavares J. 6. Zdravkovski D. (C)	91. Zadro M. (G) 7. Anderson Correia 8. Charalampous C. 11. Effaghe R. 70. El Allachi C. 29. Gaustad D. 24. Kalulu G. 17. Matysik M. 22. Nikolic V. 6. Sarfo A. 20. Yago S. (C)
Substitutes
75. Christofi S. 99. Geoffrey C. 2. Karo A. 70. Kyriacou K. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 74. Merzouk S. (G) 19. Milosavljevic I. 77. Mughe F. R. 17. Paroutis D. 35. Sergio Conceicao	46. Dimitriou G. (G) 88. Fi Akamba C. 23. Folha B. 21. Galyata D. 30. Gustavo Paje 16. Lebi O. 5. Lelle D. 3. Maras L. 78. Ovsyannikov D. 19. Sane M. 18. Szakos B. 1. Vana Alves (G)
Coaches
Martins H.	Radkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Nikolic V. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Effaghe R. ⚽,
45+3', Singh L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Anderson Correia 🟨,
60', Gaustad D. ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
61', Neofytou K. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
61', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Sergio Conceicao ↑,
61', Tavares J. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Gustavo Paje ⚽,
68', Tavares J. 🟨,
69', Tavares J. ↓, Geoffrey C. ↑,
74', Kalulu G. ↓, Lelle D. ↑,
77', Antoniou E. 🟨,
80', Lelle D. 🟨,
81', Singh L. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Jovetic S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Aris Limassol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aris Limassol is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for AEL: Almeida B. (Inactive) Catakovic H. (Injury) Gomis Y. (Injury) Peti Peti J. (Inactive) Szoke J. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Aris Limassol: Foderingham W. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Aris Limassol: Badelj J. (Inactive) Maras L. (Inactive).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, AEL has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:26 (averaging 0.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AEL against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AEL Limassol	7	5	0	2	11:11	0	15
6	Aris	7	3	3	1	10:9	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

AEL Limassol - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
18.10.26	Omonia Aradippou - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia 29is Maiou	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	APOEL - AEL Limassol	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWL
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
18.10.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
14.10.26	Aris Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	4:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
11.10.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Aris Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Krasava Ypsonas - Aris Limassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.08.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:2
Cypriot First Division
01.02.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:1
Cypriot Cup
21.01.26	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	0:1
Cypriot First Division
19.10.25	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0
23.02.25	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0
24.11.24	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:3
18.02.24	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0

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