Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 16

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade El Massira (Safi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Al Maghribia, SNRT Live


	Olympic Safi		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.66	3.2	5
	1.67	3.3	5.6
	1.66	3.23	5.67	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.71	3.32	5.1	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	5.35 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympic Safi
54.8%

Draw
28.2%

Moghreb Tétouan
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympic Safi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Safi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Olympic Safi - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Olympic Safi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Moghreb Tétouan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alaoui K. (C) 21. Ashabi M. 30. El Amrani S. 3. El Bahraoui I. 5. Errahouli S. 8. Karmoune F. 15. Lamirat A. 80. Michte Y. 27. Morsli S. 13. Moujahid H. 40. Rhailouf W.	1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 97. Al Cheikhi M. 17. Amhih Y. 21. Ben Khajjou Z. 9. Darai H. 5. El Fakih M. 11. El Megri B. 3. Madkour A. 74. Oulad Abdelouahab R. (C) 96. Rahim M. 20. Wayo A.
Substitutes
18. Amjad S. 17. El Hadry A. 16. Ich-Chou O. 22. Kernane A. (G) 25. Nqaiti A. 11. Ouedraogo A. D. 10. Qassaq A. 20. Samake C. 29. Yechou S.	24. Chabboud A. 33. Dades M. 14. Eddaoudi D. 95. El Ghazouani Y. 77. El Houari Y. 26. Errahouli I. 44. Karmoun M. 12. Lamaiz S. (G) 98. Merzouka S. B.
Coaches
El Karma A.	Lakhal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Al Cheikhi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Michte Y. ↓, Qassaq A. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Moujahid H. ⚽, El Amrani S. (A),
63', El Fakih M. ↓, Errahouli I. ↑,
63', El Megri B. ↓, Chabboud A. ↑,
66', Ben Khajjou Z. ↓, Eddaoudi D. ↑,
66', Wayo A. ↓, Merzouka S. B. ↑,
67', El Bahraoui I. ↓, Samake C. ↑,
67', Qassaq A. 🟨,
75', Moujahid H. 🟨,
78', Rahim M. 🟨,
80', Moujahid H. ↓, Yechou S. ↑,
87', Morsli S. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olympic Safi won 1.

Olympic Safi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moghreb Tétouan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Olympic Safi is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Olympic Safi won 4 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Olympic Safi won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympic Safi
Moroccan Botola
22.12.24	Olympic Safi - Union de Touarga	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Maghreb Fez - Olympic Safi	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Olympic Safi - Hassania Agadir	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Wydad Casablanca - Olympic Safi	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Olympic Safi - CODM de Meknès	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola
25.12.24	Moghreb Tétouan - FAR Rabat	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Moghreb Tétouan	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Renaissance Zemamra - Moghreb Tétouan	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Moghreb Tétouan - FUS Rabat	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
31.08.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympic Safi	0:0
10.02.24	Olympic Safi - Moghreb Tétouan	2:1
02.09.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympic Safi	0:0
04.05.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympic Safi	2:1
04.01.23	Olympic Safi - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1
19.06.21	Olympic Safi - Moghreb Tétouan	0:0
20.02.21	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympic Safi	1:3

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