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Current Win Probability
Olympique Béja 25.2%
Draw 29.8%
Zarzis 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.6%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
27.7%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Béja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Béja's form might have worsened.
Zarzis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zarzis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Béja than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Béja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zarzis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olympique Béja - Zarzis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Smaoui C. (G) 4. Chelghoumi I. 28. Dhouibi M. 21. Fadhli F. 30. Gharbi A. 8. Haboubi I. 17. Hasni B. 23. Hedhli M. 2. Hosni N. 20. Ishimwe A. 11. Labidi F.
22. Charfi S. (G) 7. Ben Dhiaf A. 5. Chouchane M. 10. Coumbassa O. 20. Diallo P. 35. Ghouma F. 33. Mahersi G. 29. Rahmani M. 28. Rjili L. 17. Stanley O. 27. Tajourii A.
Substitutes
7. Cherni B. 22. Fatnassi A. (G) 10. Hadouchi M. H. 12. Hammami R. 13. Houiji H. 14. Jabri S. 9. Mekni O. 18. Ouji A. 24. Soumer H.
2. Cissokho M. 32. Ghanmi H. (G) 21. Ifi J. 11. Jertila M. 15. Labidi Z. 24. Mokhtar B. 19. Nshuti I. 23. Sghaier M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Labidi F. 🟨,
30', Chouchane M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Stanley O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ishimwe A. ↓, Hadouchi M. H. ↑,
50', Hasni B. 🟨,
57', Hasni B. ↓, Cherni B. ↑,
58', Hedhli M. ↓, Houiji H. ↑,
62', Ben Dhiaf A. ↓, Jertila M. ↑,
62', Rahmani M. ↓, Nshuti I. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Nshuti I. ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Nshuti I. ⚽,
74', Dhouibi M. ↓, Mekni O. ↑,
75', Rjili L. ↓, Mokhtar B. ↑,
76', Chouchane M. ↓, Labidi Z. ↑,
86', Tajourii A. ↓, Sghaier M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 1.
Recent performances by Olympique Béja have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zarzis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olympique Béja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Olympique Béja won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).