Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 10

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport


	Étoile du Sahel		Olympique Béja

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.9
	1.44	4.16	7.25
	1.75	3.11	4.96	Watch
	1.48	3.68	6.61	Watch
	1.73	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	3.55 ↑ (3.11)	5.94 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile du Sahel
58.5%

Draw
26%

Olympique Béja
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

29.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile du Sahel's performance.

Olympique Béja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Béja than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile du Sahel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Étoile du Sahel (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Étoile du Sahel will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile du Sahel (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gazzeh R. (G) 25. Ben Choug F. 10. Ben Seghaier M. 19. Bouslama M. 9. Chaabani M. 13. Chouchane M. 21. Ferjani N. 5. Hnid N. 22. Horchani A. 2. Omija A. 17. Smichi N.	16. Smaoui C. (G) 4. Chelghoumi I. 30. Gharbi A. 8. Haboubi I. 17. Hasni B. 23. Hedhli M. 2. Hosni N. 14. Jabri S. 26. Laabidi F. 21. Labidi F. 27. Marzouki M.
Substitutes
8. Al Qulaib N. 30. Anane M. 28. Aouani R. 29. Ben Amor M. 18. Cristo 6. Gbo C. 26. Ghedamsi S. 27. Khadraoui S. 1. Youssef K. (G)	7. Cherni B. 22. Fatnassi A. (G) 19. Hadouchi M. H. 12. Hammami R. 13. Houiji H. 9. Mekni O. 6. Melki Y. 18. Saidi A. (G) 24. Soumer H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Chouchane M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Chelghoumi I. ⚽,
23', Horchani A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Bouslama M. ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Smichi N. ↓, Cristo ↑,
62', Chaabani M. ↓, Aouani R. ↑,
62', Ben Seghaier M. ↓, Anane M. ↑,
67', Hasni B. ↓, Hadouchi M. H. ↑,
68', Chouchane M. ↓, Ben Amor M. ↑,
76', Ferjani N. ↓, Ghedamsi S. ↑,
81', Gazzeh R. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Hadouchi M. H. (Pen),
85', Laabidi F. ↓, Mekni O. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+8', Jabri S. ↓, Cherni B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 1.

Recent performances by Étoile du Sahel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olympique Béja has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoile du Sahel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Étoile du Sahel is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile du Sahel
CAF Confederation Cup
19.10.25	Nairobi United - Étoile du Sahel	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.10.25	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Étoile du Sahel - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	3:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.25	Soliman - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWW
- Olympique Béja
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.10.25	Olympique Béja - Marsa	0:6 ✺
28.09.25	Olympique Béja - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Espérance ST - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Olympique Béja - Stade Tunisien	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Soliman - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
18.01.25	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	0:2
31.08.24	Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja	0:1
Tunisian Super Cup
07.01.24	Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja	0:2
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.10.23	Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja	0:0
23.08.23	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	2:1
30.06.23	Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja	5:0
20.05.23	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	0:0

Étoile du Sahel - Olympique Béja