Match Info

Premiere Ligue Women - Round 22

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus (Marseille)

Referee: Kocher A. (Fra)


	Olympique Marseille		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.45	2.22
	2.68	3.8	2.21
	2.39	3.65	2.65	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.83	3.56	2.3
	2.23	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.23)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.37 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
35.2%

Draw
26.4%

Dijon
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dijon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dijon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Olympique Marseille - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Shore M. (G) 7. Laplacette T. (C) 15. Blanchard N. 55. Carro M. 24. Cyraniak J. 17. Bourgouin L. 88. Elisor S. 8. Le Mouel M. 34. Compaore S. 9. Bourdieu M. 11. Brown J.	1. Talaslahti K. (G) 3. Siren E. 26. Taylor K. 28. Carage N. (C) 24. Vairon M. 8. Declercq L. 20. Fontaine A. 5. Grzybowska G. 10. Krezyman N. 16. Domin O. 11. Terchoun M.
Substitutes
2. Alvarez M. 22. Couasnon R. 4. Joseph T. 18. Leger M. 6. Paprzycki A. 14. Perret J. 1. Sieber M. (G)	27. Denizot J. 6. Gay L. 4. Haelewyn M. 7. Ndzana C. 30. Verdier C. (G) 12. Wang Yanwen 15. Wu Chengshu
Coaches
Diacre C.	Picard P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Compaore S. 🟨,
37', Vairon M. 🟨,
45+1', Declercq L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 0 - 1, Grzybowska G. ⚽, Krezyman N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bourgouin L. ↓, Paprzycki A. ↑,
46', Le Mouel M. ↓, Perret J. ↑,
46', Blanchard N. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
54', Paprzycki A. 🟨,
64', Elisor S. ↓, Leger M. ↑,
65', Grzybowska G. ↓, Gay L. ↑,
65', Terchoun M. ↓, Wu Chengshu ↑,
72', Siren E. ↓, Denizot J. ↑,
73', Fontaine A. ↓, Wang Yanwen ↑,
75', Compaore S. 🟨,
88', Laplacette T. ↓, Couasnon R. ↑,
88', Wu Chengshu 🟨,
88', Vairon M. ↓, Haelewyn M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

Recent form of Marseille has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dijon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marseille W	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille Ladies
French Division 1 Women
25.04.26	Lens - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Le Havre - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTL
- Dijon FCO Women
French Division 1 Women
25.04.26	Dijon - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	OL Lyonnes - Dijon	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dijon - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lens - Dijon	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France Women
18.03.26	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
07.11.25	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:1
23.11.19	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:0

Olympique Marseille - Dijon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide