Match Info

Date: 29 April 2022, Friday


	Olympique de Médéa		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.35
	3.1	2.63	2.45
	2.95	2.85	2.38
	3.2	2.61	2.62
	3	2.75	2.5
	3	2.88	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (4.4)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)	2.46 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique de Médéa
30%

Draw
33%

ES Sétif
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

33.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

34.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique de Médéa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique de Médéa's performance.

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ES Sétif might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique de Médéa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique de Médéa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Olympique de Médéa - ES Sétif Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Médéa will win (votes: 9 - 60%). ES Sétif will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Médéa: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Médéa won 1.

Médéa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches ES Sétif is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ES Sétif will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Médéa won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Médéa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique de Médéa
Algerian Ligue 1
22.04.22	Olympique de Médéa - Rélizane	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Paradou - Olympique de Médéa	0:0 ✺
12.04.22	Olympique de Médéa - Constantine	2:1 ✺
07.04.22	Olympique de Médéa - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
01.04.22	MC Alger - Olympique de Médéa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.6 WTWTT
- ES Sétif
CAF Champions League
22.04.22	Espérance ST - ES Sétif	0:1 ✺
15.04.22	ES Sétif - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
12.04.22	ES Sétif - MC Alger	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	ES Sétif - Oran	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
03.04.22	Raja Casablanca - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
02.01.22	ES Sétif - Olympique de Médéa	3:0
04.07.21	Olympique de Médéa - ES Sétif	3:0
26.01.21	ES Sétif - Olympique de Médéa	0:0
13.02.19	ES Sétif - Olympique de Médéa	1:0
Algerian Cup
19.12.18	ES Sétif - Olympique de Médéa	1:0
Algerian Ligue 1
15.10.18	Olympique de Médéa - ES Sétif	2:2
24.02.18	Olympique de Médéa - ES Sétif	0:0

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