Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Espérance ST		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.43	3.8	6.75
	1.4	4.1	7.5
	1.41	3.85	7.2
	1.38	4.3	9.26
	1.42	3.6	8
	1.41	4.05	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	7.74 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
64.9%

Draw
23.3%

ES Sétif
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ES Sétif might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Espérance ST - ES Sétif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Espérance ST is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ES Sétif is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ES Sétif could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently ES Sétif have a series of home games.

In this match Espérance ST is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Espérance ST won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
18.04.22	Métlaoui - Espérance ST	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.04.22	ES Sétif - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
10.04.22	Espérance ST - Tataouine	3:0 ✺
06.04.22	Hammam-Lif - Espérance ST	2:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
02.04.22	Espérance ST - Belouizdad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW
- ES Sétif
CAF Champions League
15.04.22	ES Sétif - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
12.04.22	ES Sétif - MC Alger	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	ES Sétif - Oran	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
03.04.22	Raja Casablanca - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
26.03.22	ES Sétif - Magra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
15.04.22	ES Sétif - Espérance ST	0:0
09.08.14	ES Sétif - Espérance ST	2:2
17.05.14	Espérance ST - ES Sétif	1:2

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