The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 50.3%
Draw 27.1%
JEF United Chiba 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
28.8%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
30.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Albirex Niigata - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Suzuki S. ⚽, Inayama M. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albirex Niigata won 4.
Albirex Niigata is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
JEF United is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Albirex Niigata is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Albirex Niigata has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:12 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Albirex Niigata against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).