Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Ontinyent 1931		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.92	2.48
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	2.92	2.96	2.38
	2.32	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.88)	3.02 ↓ (3.45)	2.5 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontinyent 1931
33%

Draw
30.4%

La Nucía
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontinyent 1931 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ontinyent 1931's form might have worsened.

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Nucía's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ontinyent 1931, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Nucía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ontinyent 1931 - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 🟥,
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Ontinyent 1931 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, La Nucía has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ontinyent 1931 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ontinyent 1931 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ontinyent 1931 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.11.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Ontinyent 1931	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Utiel	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vall de Uxó - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Alzira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTTW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.11.25	La Nucía - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Crevillente Deportivo - La Nucía	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	La Nucía - Soneja	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Buñol - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.09.24	Ontinyent 1931 - La Nucía	1:1

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