Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Onze Créateurs		USFAS Bamako

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.78	2.35
	3.21	2.77	2.41	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.37
	3.14	2.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Onze Créateurs
28.9%

Draw
32.5%

USFAS Bamako
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

33.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

32.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Onze Créateurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Onze Créateurs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Onze Créateurs won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

USFAS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Onze Créateurs won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Onze Créateurs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	-8	26

Last Results with these Odds

Onze Créateurs - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Onze Créateurs
Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Mali Coura - Onze Créateurs	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Stade Malien - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLLT
- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - USFAS Bamako	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Bamako - USFAS Bamako	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
29.04.25	USFAS Bamako - Onze Créateurs	1:0
06.01.25	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:3
23.02.24	USFAS Bamako - Onze Créateurs	1:0
12.11.23	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0
01.06.23	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	0:1
11.12.22	USFAS Bamako - Onze Créateurs	1:1
12.05.22	USFAS Bamako - Onze Créateurs	1:0

Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide