Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 9Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday
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Bougouba |
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USFAS Bamako |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.05 |
2.92 |
2.25 |
 Watch |
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3.18 |
2.99 |
2.29 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
2.75 |
2.25 |
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3.11 |
2.93 |
2.28 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
2.9 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.68) |
2.9 ↑
(2.78) |
2.26 ↓
(2.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bougouba
29% | Draw
31.1% | USFAS Bamako
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bougouba's form might have worsened.USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USFAS Bamako's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bougouba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USFAS Bamako, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Bougouba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | USFAS Bamako | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
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| 8 | Bougouba | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 31 |
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Last Results with these Odds
USFAS Bamako - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 07.05.25 | Bougouba - USFAS Bamako | 0:1 | | 11.01.25 | USFAS Bamako - Bougouba | 2:1 | | 13.04.24 | Bougouba - USFAS Bamako | 0:2 | | 06.12.23 | USFAS Bamako - Bougouba | 0:1 | | 23.04.22 | Bougouba - USFAS Bamako | 0:0 | | 24.11.21 | USFAS Bamako - Bougouba | 1:0 |
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