Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Diaz Arena (Oostende)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)


	Oostende		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.88
	4	3.6	1.87	Watch
	3.86	3.72	1.95
	3.61	3.59	2.02
	3.6	3.6	1.83
	3.79	3.68	1.84	Watch
	3.55	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.57)	3.59 ↑ (3.59)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oostende
25.3%

Draw
25.9%

Beerschot Wilrijk
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

26.2%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Oostende - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bossin L. (G) 36. Wylin S. 2. Vinck J. 3. Medley Z. 5. Laes B. 16. Dewaele S. 9. Perez D. 8. Henderson E. 23. Amade A. 28. Hartwig L. 90. Berte M.	71. Matijas D. (G) 66. Tolis 3. Matthys H. 26. Tshimanga D. 28. Weymans M. 47. Cagro W. 18. Sanusi R. (C) 24. Nzita M. 7. Reyners T. 32. Wright-Phillips D. 10. Verlinden T.
Substitutes
77. Atanga D. 18. Avoki P. 4. Basila T. 22. Decoene M. 29. D'Haese R. 13. Gabriel B. (G) 20. Musayev A. 31. Omolo J. 25. Van Daele C.	8. Alhassan I. 30. Huiberts D. 27. Keita C. 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 75. Michez S. 55. Nzouango F. 29. Pauwels B. 11. Simovic R. 2. van Beijnen M. 52. Van Himbeeck A.
Coaches
Shoffner J.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Verlinden T. ⚽, Wright-Phillips D. (A),
34', Amade A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hartwig L. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Wright-Phillips D. ⚽, Nzita M. (A),
51', Dewaele S. 🟨,
58', Laes B. 🟨,
61', Amade A. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
61', Perez D. ↓, D'Haese R. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Medley Z. ⚽,
68', Verlinden T. ↓, Michez S. ↑,
68', Weymans M. ↓, Huiberts D. ↑,
74', Wright-Phillips D. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
76', Vinck J. 🟨,
78', Sanusi R. 🟨,
81', Laes B. ↓, Van Daele C. ↑,
87', Dewaele S. ↓, Avoki P. ↑,
90', Tshimanga D. 🟨,
90+4', Reyners T. ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
90+4', Vinck J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 3.

Oostende is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beerschot Wilrijk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oostende have a series of guest games.

In this match Beerschot Wilrijk is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Oostende won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Oostende
Belgian Challenger Pro League
31.03.24	Seraing - Oostende	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Genk U23 - Oostende	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Oostende - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Beveren - Oostende	2:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.02.24	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWL
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.03.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Zulte Waregem - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Dender EH - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Seraing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.09.23	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oostende	1:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.12.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oostende	0:2
18.09.21	Oostende - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1
11.04.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oostende	1:2
10.08.20	Oostende - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2
18.05.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oostende	1:2
06.04.19	Oostende - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1

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