The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beerschot Wilrijk 61.9%
Draw 20.8%
Genk U23 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
19.1%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
18.7%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beerschot Wilrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-3%)
Users Predictions:
Beerschot Wilrijk will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 6. Van den Eynden B. 4. Plat B. 76. Gyamfi D. 18. Sanusi R. (C) 19. Guendouz S. 7. van La Parra R. 78. Haraguchi G. 71. Masui K. 25. Magidigidi S.
97. Doucoure E. (G) 2. Pierre K. 73. Mbavu E. 59. Kapers W. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 87. Yasuda K. 67. Camara A. 89. Kim M. 30. Yokoyama A. 50. Beniangba V. (C)
Coaches
Messoudi M.
de Camargo I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mbavu E. (Own goal),
27', Magidigidi S. 🟨,
29', Pierre K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Magidigidi S. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
46', Sarfo E. ↓, Barry A. ↑,
50', Yasuda K. 🟨,
67', Camara A. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
67', Kapers W. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
75', Guendouz S. ↓, Claes G. ↑,
80', Coenen J. 🟨,
82', Masui K. ↓, Van Eenoo L. ↑,
86', Yasuda K. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 14).
Beerschot Wilrijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Genk U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Beerschot Wilrijk is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beerschot Wilrijk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Watch
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Shinton N. (G) 
Dagba C. 
Plat B. 
Haraguchi G. 
Magidigidi S. 
Doucoure E. (G) 
Pierre K. 
Kim M. 
Beniangba V. (C) 
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